Dungannon Swifts vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 0
LOU
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DON
0 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 0
TOB
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 2
LIS
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIS
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |