Dungannon Swifts vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 1
OMA
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 1
ZAL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LIS
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
2 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |