Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUB
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 5
COL
14%
22%
63%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 2
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
LIN
17%
19%
64%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 5
LIN
7%
14%
79%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIN
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |