Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
5 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 1
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 1
CRU
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 2
CLI
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |