Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CRU
19%
23%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
LIN
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
LIS
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |