Dungannon Swifts vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 1
DUN
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 1
DUN
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAL
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
2 - 5
LAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
CLI
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 0
LAR
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
4 - 1
LAR
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |