Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
17%
24%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
72%
16%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |