Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
DUN
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 4
WAR
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
INS
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DON
0 - 5
INS
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
INS
0 - 0
KNO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |