Northern Ireland League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 8
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
50%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |