Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
POR
1 - 4
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
CRU
19%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |