Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 2
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 2
LAR
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 1
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIS
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 1
INS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 2
INS
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |