Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 4
GLE
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
CRU
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 2
INS
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
INS
0 - 3
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
INS
1 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |