Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
DUN
4 - 0
BAL
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 2
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 3
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAN
41%
26%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
LIS
3 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
INS
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
INS
5 - 1
BAN
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |