Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
ARD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 2
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
ARC
1 - 3
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
INS
1 - 2
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 2
INS
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
ARC
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
INS
0 - 2
ARD
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |