Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
39
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
ARD
33%
22%
45%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DUN
25%
23%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 6
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
14%
18%
68%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
78%
14%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |