NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 2-2
Dungannon Swifts vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 3
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DON
0 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
BMF
1 - 2
DON
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 4
DON
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DON
3 - 0
KRF
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |