Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
8%
19%
73%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRU
21%
24%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |