Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |