Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
CLI
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
5 - 0
DUN
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
15%
22%
62%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 3
DUN
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
WAR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |