Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 2
POR
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
76%
18%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CLI
3 - 0
DUN
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 2
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
83%
12%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
CRU
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 4
CRU
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |