Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
6 - 1
DUN
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 2
COL
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CLI
5 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 1
CRU
8%
16%
76%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
CRU
7%
16%
77%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
21%
21%
58%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 1
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
23%
20%
57%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |