Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
DUN
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
CLI
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
0 - 1
DUN
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |