Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
INS
0 - 0
DUN
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIM
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 2
CRU
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
QOS
4 - 3
CRU
21%
20%
59%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +6 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 3
COL
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 1
PSN
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |