Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
4 - 1
DOL
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
PSN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |