Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 4
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DUN
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
CRU
28%
24%
49%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 3
CRU
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |