Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
COA
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |