Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
LAR
63%
20%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 0
WAR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |