Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 4
GLE
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
3 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
POR
3 - 4
CRU
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
2 - 2
CRU
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 0
DON
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |