Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
GLE
0 - 1
DUN
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
7 - 1
COA
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
DUN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
CRU
3 - 1
LCE
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 3
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
CRU
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |