Dungannon Swifts vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DUN
4 - 0
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 0
LIM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
ARC
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIN
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 1
ARC
67%
22%
11%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |