Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DON
0 - 6
ARD
10%
18%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 0
LOU
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
2 - 0
ARD
34%
24%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |