Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
ARC
0 - 0
DUN
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 3
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BAL
4 - 3
DUN
40%
25%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIS
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 1
LIM
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 0
ARD
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
ARD
1 - 3
BAL
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
POR
3 - 2
ARD
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 2
ARC
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |