Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
DUN
4 - 0
ABE
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
DUN
6 - 2
AIR
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
VAR
2 - 0
DUN
44%
21%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
STI
2 - 3
DUN
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
TLA
2 - 1
MHE
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
ABE
2 - 1
TLA
46%
21%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
TLA
0 - 3
GLA
51%
21%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
HIB
1 - 3
TLA
53%
20%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
TLA
2 - 1
RAI
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |