Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
10º
8º
53
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 2
DUN
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
DUN
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
RAI
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 3
RAI
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |