Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
4º
1º
51
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
10%
20%
70%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
KHE
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
DUN
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
EDI
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 1
PET
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EDI
1 - 3
QOS
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
QOS
1 - 0
FAL
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 1
QOS
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |