Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
4º
1º
16
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QOS
0 - 2
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
AIR
33%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KHE
0 - 0
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
ELG
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
KHE
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
5 - 0
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
1 - 4
QOS
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |