Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1949 |
DUN
0 - 0
AIR
61%
18%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
AIR
3 - 4
DUN
72%
14%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
KIL
2 - 4
DUN
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
STJ
2 - 3
DUN
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUE
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
69%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
HOM
5 - 2
HIB
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
HIB
4 - 0
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
HIB
49%
21%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
RAI
0 - 6
HIB
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |