Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ABE
4 - 0
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 4
GLA
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 2
HIB
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KIL
3 - 2
DUN
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 4
MHE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STJ
2 - 0
HOM
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
25%
26%
48%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 0
STM
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ICT
1 - 1
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |