Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 1
ICT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MHE
2 - 3
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIV
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FAL
0 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
SIR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
HOM
3 - 0
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |