Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUN
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 3
GLA
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2006 |
HOM
2 - 3
CEL
40%
25%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
HOM
5 - 0
FAL
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
GLA
1 - 0
HOM
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
HOM
0 - 0
ICT
62%
22%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
HOM
2 - 1
LIV
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |