Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
FHH
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 1
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
ICT
2 - 0
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
SPB
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 0
KIL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 0
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |