Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
CLY
0 - 3
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 4
CEL
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 3
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 3
CEL
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |