Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
30%
25%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GLA
6 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 2
GLA
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |