Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 3
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLA
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 4
CEL
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
HOM
0 - 0
ABE
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
3 - 0
ROS
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |