Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
DUN
0 - 0
MHE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
DUN
1 - 2
HIB
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
HOM
1 - 1
FAL
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
HOM
1 - 0
AIR
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
ABE
0 - 2
HOM
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |