Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1961 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 6
ABE
64%
18%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUN
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 2
CLY
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1961 |
HOM
1 - 2
HIB
70%
15%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
STJ
2 - 3
HOM
20%
22%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |