Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUN
64%
17%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1960 |
DUN
0 - 2
RAI
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
MHE
1 - 1
DUN
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
DUN
1 - 1
STI
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
DUN
4 - 5
CLY
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1960 |
HIB
1 - 5
HOM
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
HOM
4 - 1
RAI
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
MHE
3 - 0
HOM
47%
21%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |