Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALL
2 - 3
DUN
32%
25%
44%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
62%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HAM
1 - 1
KIL
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
HAM
3 - 0
ICT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STJ
3 - 0
HAM
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KIL
0 - 1
HAM
47%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 1
MHE
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |