Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
4º
1º
64
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QOS
0 - 2
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
AIR
33%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KHE
0 - 0
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EDI
0 - 3
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KHE
2 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
FAL
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
QOS
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EDI
0 - 3
FAL
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |