Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
25%
24%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
QOS
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
3 - 0
KIL
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAL
3 - 0
PET
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RAI
1 - 1
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CLY
3 - 2
FAL
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAL
1 - 0
MON
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |